Independent Statistical Reference

Data Without
Agenda

Every politically contested claim examined against primary sources. Every counterargument steelmanned. Every assumption tested. No advocacy — just the numbers, rigorously presented.

✓ Primary sources only ✓ Sensitivity analysis ✓ Confidence intervals ✓ Opposing views included
Research Topics
🔫 ● Live
Gun Violence · LGBTQ+

Trans People & Mass Shootings

Are transgender people overrepresented as mass shooters? Three databases, every definition, full sensitivity analysis with 95% confidence intervals. Every counterargument — including John Lott/CPRC — addressed with primary data.

3 databases
10 assumption combos
27 sections
Read the full analysis
🛂 Coming Soon
Immigration · Crime

Immigration & Crime Rates

Do undocumented immigrants commit more crime than native-born citizens? FBI, ICE, Cato Institute, and academic studies examined against political claims.

In preparation
🗳️ Coming Soon
Elections · Democracy

Voter Fraud: The Real Numbers

How common is verified voter fraud? Every prosecuted case documented, every major claim tested against election totals and DOJ prosecution data.

In preparation
📊 Coming Soon
Crime · Demographics

Crime by Demographic

FBI uniform crime data, arrest vs. conviction rates, poverty and policing confounders — what the statistics actually show, what they can't show, and why both matter.

In preparation
💰 Coming Soon
Economy · Policy

Economic Claims, Fact-Checked

Inflation, wages, deficits, job creation — contested claims from both parties measured against BLS, CBO, and Federal Reserve primary data.

In preparation
🌍 Coming Soon
US Policy · International

US vs. World: Policy Outcomes

Healthcare, gun violence, incarceration, education — how US outcomes compare internationally, and what the data does and doesn't say about policy causes.

In preparation
Primary Sources Only
FBI, CDC, Census Bureau, Williams Institute, peer-reviewed journals. No op-eds, no think-tank summaries without citing their primary data.
All Counterarguments
Every major opposing claim is steelmanned with its own numbers before being addressed. No strawmanning, no selective quoting.
Sensitivity Analysis
Every assumption is tested. Results shown under every reasonable combination of definitions, denominators, and inclusion criteria.
Transparent Limitations
Wide confidence intervals shown, not hidden. Data gaps acknowledged. What the data can't establish is as important as what it can.